KELER CCP according to the European Parliament and the Council (EU) 2019/834 regulation (EMIR REFIT) article 1. point 10 paragraph (7) publishes the design of it’s initial margin model and it’s key assumptions.
In case of futures the amount of initial margin is determined by underlying product and is stated in the applicable announcement that KELER CCP publishes on its website. The initial margin determined by the underlying product is applied for the underlying product’s every expiring instrument, also taking into consideration the instrument’s contract size. This is because the underlying product is more liquid in every case than the expiring futures, and in many expiring cases because of poor liquidity volatility measurement wouldn’t be efficient. The objective of initial margin is to cover the potential change in the price of the instrument for at least two days, with a confidence level of at least 99%.
KELER CCP determines the initial margin based on the calculation of the delta-normal VaR (Value at Risk), in line with the requirements stated in the applicable regulation. The parameters applied are as follows: minimum holding period of 2 days (EMIR 153/2013/EU RTS article 26.), confidence level of 99% (EMIR 153/2013/EU RTS article 24.), and look back period of at least 1 year (EMIR 153/2013/EU RTS article 25.). Additionally, to determine the VaR value the change in the product’s 250 day log yield volatility is used. The thus calculated risk measure, in line with EMIR 153/2013/EU RTS article 28. is supplemented with at least a buffer (25%) against procyclicality.
For futures securities with guaranteed physical delivery there is a delivery month supplementary collateral also in the delivery cycle and the trading day before the delivery.
The initial margin requirement to be met is calculated at portfolio level with the use of the SPAN® software developed in Chicago. The SPAN® software for some products calculates the initial margin requirement in the underlying product’s currency. At the end of the process this is converted to HUF on a previously given rate, which is published in an announcement. KELER CCP does not modify the exchange rates daily, instead a more a stable, monthly modification is used. The set rate is based on the previous month’s (20 trading day) rounded average exchange rate.
When the portfolio level initial margin requirement is calculated, the margin requirement calculated based on the net open positions at the segregation level concerned and the related initial margin parameter is decreased with the spread discounts determined by KELER CCP. Spread discounts have two types: 1. Spread discount between products, which is a percentage discount from the sum of initial margin requirements of different product’s opposing positions 2. Spread discounts between delivery days, which is a percentage discount from the sum of initial margin requirements of different trading days opposing positions. The determination of spread discounts is based on the Pearson correlation coefficient of daily yields in every case.
KELER CCP’s initial margin model parameters are reviewed regularly (monthly, seasonally, yearly) in line with legal requirements. The methodology of initial margin determination, the use of the risk measure and the method of spread discount determination are detailed in the methodology document published.
The portfolio based initial margin calculation method’s description:
www.cmegroup.com/clearing/risk-management/span-overview.html
Related links:
Announcement of margin requirements Budapest Stock Exchange Share Section
Announcement of margin requirements Budapest Stock Exchange Financial Section
Announcement of margin requirements Budapest Stock Exchange Commodity Section
Methodology